Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.027120 0.029147 0.031187 0.033391 0.035702 0.038052 0.040618
2026-02-01 0.023248 0.026402 0.029696 0.033380 0.037374 0.041563 0.046277
2026-02-08 0.020800 0.024574 0.028618 0.033252 0.038390 0.043890 0.050199
2026-02-15 0.018906 0.023114 0.027725 0.033115 0.039203 0.045829 0.053548
2026-02-22 0.017407 0.021948 0.027024 0.033063 0.039995 0.047647 0.056676
2026-03-01 0.015953 0.020717 0.026146 0.032711 0.040359 0.048911 0.059122
2026-03-08 0.014463 0.019344 0.025011 0.031977 0.040206 0.049523 0.060768
2026-03-15 0.013207 0.018174 0.024045 0.031371 0.040141 0.050183 0.062427
2026-03-22 0.012743 0.017941 0.024173 0.032042 0.041561 0.052555 0.066063
2026-03-29 0.012047 0.017375 0.023858 0.032147 0.042280 0.054089 0.068710
2026-04-05 0.011339 0.016754 0.023442 0.032097 0.042788 0.055354 0.071030
2026-04-12 0.010970 0.016549 0.023527 0.032651 0.044018 0.057476 0.074367
2026-04-19 0.010228 0.015856 0.023016 0.032502 0.044451 0.058727 0.076786
2026-04-26 0.009562 0.015243 0.022591 0.032457 0.045023 0.060170 0.079475
2026-05-03 0.008923 0.014627 0.022129 0.032335 0.045470 0.061441 0.081945
2026-05-10 0.008332 0.014043 0.021679 0.032200 0.045881 0.062653 0.084335
2026-05-17 0.007818 0.013539 0.021311 0.032149 0.046382 0.063964 0.086842
2026-05-24 0.007239 0.012907 0.020740 0.031804 0.046482 0.064761 0.088703
2026-05-31 0.006576 0.012114 0.019913 0.031084 0.046067 0.064887 0.089713
2026-06-07 0.006006 0.011426 0.019201 0.030490 0.045790 0.065168 0.090902
2026-06-14 0.005861 0.011386 0.019405 0.031148 0.047170 0.067567 0.094767
2026-06-21 0.005560 0.011082 0.019215 0.031251 0.047804 0.069006 0.097421
2026-06-28 0.005234 0.010721 0.018927 0.031202 0.048224 0.070165 0.099719